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91.
Consider a simulation experiment consisting of v independent vector replications across k systems, where in any given replication one system is selected as the best performer (i.e., it wins). Each system has an unknown constant probability of winning in any replication and the numbers of wins for the individual systems follow a multinomial distribution. The classical multinomial selection procedure of Bechhofer, Elmaghraby, and Morse (Procedure BEM) prescribes a minimum number of replications, denoted as v*, so that the probability of correctly selecting the true best system (PCS) meets or exceeds a prespecified probability. Assuming that larger is better, Procedure BEM selects as best the system having the largest value of the performance measure in more replications than any other system. We use these same v* replications across k systems to form (v*)k pseudoreplications that contain one observation from each system, and develop Procedure AVC (All Vector Comparisons) to achieve a higher PCS than with Procedure BEM. For specific small-sample cases and via a large-sample approximation we show that the PCS with Procedure AVC exceeds the PCS with Procedure BEM. We also show that with Procedure AVC we achieve a given PCS with a smaller v than the v* required with Procedure BEM. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 459–482, 1998 相似文献
92.
阐述了装备保障性和战备完好性之间的相互关系;通过指标分析,论述了装各保障性设计过程要与装备保障资源的最后生成建立联系,能使指标影响设计,设计过程进行阶段性验证,以达到在设计过程中提高装各战备完好性的目的. 相似文献
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陈娟娟 《中国人民武装警察部队学院学报》2008,24(12):42-45
利用数据包络理论,建立了以消防经费、出动人员、出动车辆为输入指标,扑救起数、抢救财产、抢救人员为输出指标的公安消防部门绩效评价指标体系。研究表明,数据包络分析方法运用于公安消防部门绩效评价中是切实可行的,丰富了绩效评价方法中采用定量方法分析的种类,将绩效评价上升到了可获得反馈信息的层面,具有推广应用的价值。 相似文献
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We develop a robust queueing network analyzer algorithm to approximate the steady-state performance of a single-class open queueing network of single-server queues with Markovian routing. The algorithm allows nonrenewal external arrival processes, general service-time distributions and customer feedback. The algorithm is based on a decomposition approximation, where each flow is partially characterized by its rate and a continuous function that measures the stochastic variability over time. This function is a scaled version of the variance-time curve, called the index of dispersion for counts (IDC). The required IDC functions for the external arrival processes can be calculated from the model primitives or estimated from data. Approximations for the IDC functions of the internal flows are calculated by solving a set of linear equations. The theoretical basis is provided by heavy-traffic limits for the flows established in our previous papers. A robust queueing technique is used to generate approximations of the mean steady-state performance at each queue from the IDC of the total arrival flow and the service specification at that queue. The algorithm's effectiveness is supported by extensive simulation studies. 相似文献
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分析了型号系统研制中推广应用“被测对象(UUT,unit under test)测试点与诊断策略设计与分析技术”的必要性和重要性。重点介绍了一种对UUT测试点与诊断策略进行设计与分析的简便有效的工程化方法,以及在应用中的实践经验与体会。 相似文献
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谷建军 《中国人民武装警察部队学院学报》2007,23(10):94-96
针对城市的快速发展,各种突发性自然灾害或人为破坏事件增多,在充分分析城市公共安全管理现状的基础上,提出了城市公共安全管理网络平台建设,并对其总体结构,各自功能,技术、政策支持及运行模式进行了深入论述。 相似文献